个人简历

教育经历
加州大学（伯克利），学士学位，1964年6月
哈佛大学，博士，1968年3月
工作经历
1967年1月至1968年1月，卡内基理工学院 研究员
1968年2月 - 1969年12月，美国陆军第一中尉和上尉；担任助理国防部长办公室（系统分析）经济部工作人员和代理主任
1970年1月 - 1971年6月，宾夕法尼亚大学 经济学副教授
1971年9月 - 1987年6月，明尼苏达大学 经济学副教授；1975年7月起任教授
1973年1月 - 1973年6月；1979年至今，国家经济研究局 研究员
1973年1月 - 1973年12月，布鲁金斯经济活动委员会 成员
1976年9月 - 1977年6月，芝加哥大学 福特基金会 经济学访问研究教授
1971年6月 - 1987年6月，明尼阿波利斯联邦储备银行 顾问
1981年9月 - 1982年6月，哈佛大学 经济学访问教授；国家经​​济研究局 研究员
1985年8月 - 1987年3月，斯坦福大学 胡佛研究所 访问学者
1987年3月至今，斯坦福大学 胡佛研究所 高级研究员
1991年7月 - 1998年7月，芝加哥大学 大卫洛克菲勒经济学教授
1998年7月 - 2002年9月，斯坦福大学经济学教授唐纳德·卢卡斯（Donald Lucas）
2002年9月至今，纽约大学 威廉伯克利经济学教授
2015年1月至今，新加坡管理大学 教授
Honors and Awards
University Medalist as Most Distinguished Scholar in Class of 1964, University of California – Berkeley. Fellow of Econometric Society, 1976. Mary Elizabeth Morgan Prize for Excellence in Economics, awarded by University of Chicago, 1979. Fellow of National Academy of Sciences, April 1983. Fellow of American Academy of Arts and Sciences, May 1983. Recipient of 1996–97 Erwin Plein Nemmers Prize in Economics from Northwestern University. Honorary doctorate, Stockholm School of Economics, 2003. Honorary doctorate in economics, European University Institute, 2008. Corresponding Fellow, British Academy, 2011. National Academy of Sciences Award for Scientific Reviewing, 2011. CME Group-MSRI Prize in Innovative Quantitative Applications, 2011. Honorary Doctorate, University of Bern, 2011. Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel, 2011. Honorary doctorate of sciences, University of Minnesota, 2013.
Books
Quantitative Economics, with John Stachurski, https://lectures.quantecon.org/ Uncertainty Within Economic Models, with Lars Peter Hansen, World Scientific Press, 2014. Recursive Models of Dynamic Linear Economies, with Lars Peter Hansen, Princeton University Press, 2013. Rational Expectations and Inflation, Princeton University Press, third edition, 2013. (Referred to below as REI). Recursive Macroeconomic Theory, Third Edition, with Lars Ljungqvist, MIT Press, 2012. Robustness, with Lars Peter Hansen, Princeton University Press, 2008. The Big Problem of Small Change, with Fran¸cois Velde, Princeton University Press, 2002. The Conquest of American Inflation, Princeton University Press, Princeton, N.J., 1999. Bounded Rationality in Macroeconomics, Oxford University Press, Oxford, 1993. Rational Expectations Econometrics (with Lars Hansen), Westview Press, Boulder, 1991. Exercises in Dynamic Macroeconomic Theory (with Rodolfo Manuelli), Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 1987. Dynamic Macroeconomic Theory, Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 1987. Energy, Foresight and Strategy, editor. Washington: Resources for the Future, 1985. Rational Expectations and Econometric Practice, edited with Robert E. Lucas, Jr. Minneapolis: University of Minnesota Press, 1981. (Referred to below as REEP). Macroeconomic Theory, New York: Academic Press, 1979. Second edition, 1987.

Book Reviews
“Game Theory and Economic Modelling,” by David Kreps. Journal of Political Economy, April 1992, pp. 665-672. “Central Banking in Theory and Practice: Lionel Robbins Lectures.” by Alan S. Blinder Review, Journal of Political Economy, April 1999, pp. 419-425.
Interviews
“An Interview with Thomas J. Sargent,” Macroeconomic Dynamics, Vol. 9, 2005, pp. 561-583. “An Interview with Thomas J. Sargent,” The Region, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, September 2010.

Recent and unpublished papers in progress Please see my web page.
Papers on physical catastrophes
“An Analysis of the Annual Probability of Failure of the Waste Hoist Brake System at the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP),” (with Moses Greenfield), Environmental Evaluation Group report 59, November 1995. “A Probabilistic Analysis of Catastrophic Transuranic Waste Hoist Accident at the WIPP,” (with Moses Greenfield), Environmental Evaluation Group report 53, June 1993. “Probability of Failure of the TRUDOCK Crane System at the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP),” (with Moses Greenfield). (2000).
Journalism
“Confrontations Over Deficits,” New York Times, Fri., Aug. 12, 1983. “Back to Basics on Budgets,” New York Times, Wed, Aug. 10, 1983. “Interpreting the Reagan Deficits,” Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Quarterly Review, Fall 1986. “An Open Letter to the Brazilian Finance Minister,” Wall Street Journal, Jan. 30, 1986.

近期论文

发表作品
“A Life-Cycle Model of Trans-Atlantic Employment Experiences,” (with Sagiri Kitao and Lars Ljungqvist), Review of Economic Dynamics, 2017 vol. 25, April.

“Measuring Price-Level Uncertainty and Instability in the U.S., 1850-2012,” (with Timothy Cogley), Review of Economics and Statistics, 2015, vol. 97(4), pages 827-838, October.

“Robert E. Lucas Jr.’s Collected Papers on Monetary Theory,”Journal of Economic Literature, 2015, vol. 53(1), pp. 43-64, March.

“Four Types of Ignorance,” (with Lars Peter Hansen), Journal of Monetary Economics, 2015, vol. 69(C), pp. 97-113.

“Welfare Cost of Business Cycles with Idiosyncratic Consumption Risk and a Preference for Robustness,” (with Martin Ellison), American Economic Journal Macroeconomics, 2015, vol. 7(2), pp. 40-57, April.

“Harrod 1939,” (with Lawrence E. Blume), Economic Journal, 2015, vol. 0(583), pp. 350-377, 03.

“Price Level Uncertainty and Instability in the United Kingdom,” (with Timothy Cogley and Paolo Surico), Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2015, vol. 52(C), pp. 1-16.

“Fiscal Discriminations in Three Wars,” (with George Hall), Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 61 (2014), pp. 148–166.

“Career Length: Effects of Curvature of Earnings Profiles, Earnings Shocks, Taxes, and Social Security,” (with Lars Ljungqvist), Review of Economic Dynamics, vol. 17(1), pages 1-20, January, 2014.

“Wealth Dynamics in a Bond Economy with Heterogeneous Beliefs,” (with Timothy Cogley and Viktor Tsyrennikov), Economic Journal, 2015, vol. 124(575), pp. 1-30, 03.

“History-Dependent Public Policies,” (with David Evans), in Macroeconomics at the Service of Public Policy, Thomas J. Sargent and Jouko Vilmunen, editors, Oxford University Press, 2013.

“Bayesian Model Averaging, Learning, and Model Selection,” (with George W. Evans, Seppo Honkapohja, and Noah Williams), in Macroeconomics at the Service of Public Policy, Thomas J. Sargent and Jouko Vilmunen, editors, Oxford University Press, 2013.

“Three Types of Ambiguity,” (with Lars Peter Hansen), Journal of Monetary Economics, Volume 59, Issue 5, July 2012, pp. 422–445.

“Small noise methods for risk-sensitive/robust economies,” (with Evan W. Anderson and Lars Peter Hansen), Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, vol. 36(4), 2012, pages 468-500.

“A Defense of the FOMC,” (with Martin Ellison), International Economic Review, vol. 53(4), pages 1047- 1065, November 2012.

“Market Prices of Risk with Diverse Beliefs, Learning, and Catastrophes,” (with Timothy Cogley and Viktor Tsyrennikov), American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings, vol. 102(3), pages 141-46, May 2012.

“Nobel Lecture: United States Then, Europe Now,” Journal of Political Economy, vol. 120(1), February, 2012, pages 1 - 40.

“Where to Draw Lines: Stability Versus Efficiency,” Economica, 2011, vol. 78(310), pages 197-214.

“Robustness and ambiguity in continuous time”, (with Lars Peter Hansen), Journal of Economic Theory, volume 146, Issue 3, May 2011, pp. 1195–1223.

“Two Illustrations of the Quantity Theory of Money: Breakdowns and Revivals,” American Economic Review, vol. 101(1), pages 109-28, February, 2011.

“A Labor Supply Elasticity Accord?” (with Lars Ljungqvist), American Economic Review, vol. 101(3), pages 487-91, May, 2011.

“Israel 1983: A bout of unpleasant monetarist arithmetic?” (with Joseph Zeira), Review of Economic Dynamics, vol. 14(3), pages 419-431, July 2011.

“Wanting Robustness in Macroeconomics,” (with Lars Peter Hansen), In Benjamin M. Friedman, and Michael Woodford, editors: Handbook of Monetary Economics, Vol. 3B, North-Holland, 2011, pages 1097-1157.

“Alternative Monetary Policies in a Turnpike Economy,” (with Rodolfo Manuell), Macroeconomic Dynamics, November, 2010. Vol. 14, number 5, pages 727-762.

“The Timing of Tax Collections and the Structure of Irrelevance Theorems in a Cash-In-Advance Model,” (with Bruce Smith), Macroeconomic Dynamics, September 2010, Vol. 14, number 4, pages 585-603.

“Fragile beliefs and the price of uncertainty,” (with Lars Peter Hansen), Quantitative Economics, 2010, Vol. 1, pages 129-162.

“Robust Hidden Markov LQG Problems”, (with Lars Peter Hansen and Ricardo Mayer), Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2010, Volume 34, pages 1951–1966.

“Inflation-Gap Persistence in the U.S,” (with Timothy Cogley and Giorgio E. Primiceri), American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2010, vol. 2:1, pages 43-69.

“How Sweden’s Unemployment Became More Like Europe’s, (with Lars Ljungqvist), in Reforming the Welfare State: Recovery and Beyond in Sweden, 2010, edited by Richard B. Freeman, Birgitta Swedenborg, and Robert H. Topel, University of Chicago Press, Chicago.

“Doubts or Variability?” (with Francisco Barillas and Lars Peter Hansen), Journal of Economic Theory, 2009, vol. 144(6), pages 2388-2418.

“The Conquest of South American Inflation,” (with Noah Williams and Tao Zha), Journal of Political Economy, 2009. vol. 117(2), pages 211-256.

“Diverse Beliefs, Survival, and the Market Price of Risk,” (with Timothy Cogley), Economic Journal, 2009, vol. 119(536), pages 354-376.
Organizational Service
American Economic Association: Executive Committee, 1986–88. Vice President, 2000-2001. President, 2007. Econometric Society Council, 1987–1992; 1995–1999. Second Vice President, 2003. First Vice President, 2004. President, 2005. President, Society for Economic Dynamics and Control, 1989–1992.